PM clinging on amid bitter rows over No10 party and flat refurb

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Boris Johnson and the Tories are eight points behind Sir Keir Starmer and the Labour Party in a new opinion poll as the Prime Minister continues to be battered over an array of scandals. 

A snap poll conducted by Focaldata has put Labour on 41 per cent of the vote while the Conservatives are way back on 33 per cent.   

That survey followed YouGov research which found the PM’s personal ratings have plunged to an all-time low of minus 42, down 11 points in a month. 

The numbers came as Dominic Cummings today claimed Mr Johnson will be ‘gone next year’ and Tories warned patience is ‘running out’.

The former chief aide waded in as the PM battles on multiple fronts, with his main spin doctor dragged into the ‘Partygate’ row, his sleaze watchdog demanding answers over ‘Wallpapergate’ and Tory MPs slamming Covid curbs.

Mr Johnson was forced to deny losing confidence in director of communications Jack Doyle after claims he gave a speech and handed out prizes at a lockdown-busting festive gathering in Downing Street last year. 

Meanwhile, the row over the No11 residence refurbishment is blazing again, following the Electoral Commission’s revelation that Mr Johnson personally messaged a Tory donor to ask for works to be underwritten. The premier’s spokesman said ministerial adviser on standards Lord Geidt is ‘liaising’ with officials over the disclosure, which contrasts with the peer’s previous report on the issue.   

Tories are also in open revolt about new coronavirus restrictions to combat the surging Omicron strain, while long-running sleaze accusations appear to be hitting the party’s support ahead of a crucial by-election in North Shropshire next week. 

Despite his huge 80-strong majority won just two years ago, Mr Johnson – who must contend with sleepless nights after becoming a father again yesterday – is now facing serious speculation about his future.

In a Q&A session on his blog, Mr Cummings claimed Mr Johnson ‘throws everybody under the bus’ to save himself but predicted Tory MPs will wield the axe in the New Year.

‘I know 15 year-olds who would do a better job at PM in all ways than Boris, except giving a speech – he cant actually do anything other than the words/bullsh*t side of things,’ he said. 

‘He’s done, gone by this time next year, probably summer’, he said.

Ex-Cabinet minister Andrew Mitchel warned that the ‘mood of the Conservative Party is sulphurous and we need to see some grip from No10’.

‘The history of the Tory Party is littered with ruthlessness on these occasions but I’m confident that Boris will get a grip,’ he told the BBC. 

Geoffrey Clifton-Brown, treasurer of the powerful 1922 Committee of backbench Tory MPs, delivered a thinly-veiled warning this morning, saying that Mr Johnson must stabilise the ship over Christmas.

‘He’s got to come clean on a lot of the issues that you mentioned in your opening news,’ the veteran MP said.

‘We’re all about to go for a Christmas break. If he comes back in the new year refreshed, able to differentiate between his private life and public life, and clarify all the issues and then start to do the really big issues that this country needs… we can really get onto that agenda away from these other, sort of, personal issues, then I think he’s fine.

‘But if we go on having these – what I call personal issues, issues of judgment by the Prime Minister – then I think that’s a very different scenario.’ 

A senior Tory source told MailOnline that there had been a lot of ‘unexploded bombs’ for Mr Johnson up to now.

‘When he spoke to the ’22 over sleaze he notably failed to get the audience back with his normal charm and wit and jovial manner,’ they said.

‘They didn’t respond to it, which was an indication that patience was running short. Now you’ve got this week.’

The Conservative warned that the ‘polls are all going in one direction’ and it will not be a ‘comfortable Christmas’ for Mr Johnson. ‘I don’t think he is in danger this week or over Christmas, but come the end of January that is probably when he really will be in danger – if he is.’

They also pointed to Sajid Javid’s refusal to conduct interviews defending the bombshell video of No10 staff giggling about their party, and the fact the Health Secretary openly admitted afterwards that he had refused. 

‘It was pretty ‘over to you b******s at No10′.’ the Tory said. ‘When you get a secretary of state who’s only just been re-promoted distancing himself in the way he did it is pretty brutal.’ 

In the latest bombshell developments today:

Downing Street has cancelled plans for a Christmas party this year ‘following the decision on Plan B and the latest data’; The great Christmas exodus has begun after Mr Johnson announced Plan B, with Tube and bus travel down and road traffic also plunging to its lowest level since October; Labour has written to Lord Geidt urging him to reopen his investigation into the No11 flat refurbishment;Keir Starmer’s MPs are set to bail out Mr Johnson by supporting ‘Plan B’ Covid restrictions in a crunch vote next week, with scores of Tories vowing to rebel;  New figures showed the economy stalled in October, growing just 0.1 per cent, even before the measures to tackle Omicron come into effect. 

In one of the potentially explosive situations for the premier, there are reports that Lord Geidt, his Independent Adviser on Ministerial Interests, is considering his position.    

Mr Johnson previously assured Lord Geidt, a former private secretary to the Queen, that he did not know who was paying for the refurbishment – which was ordered by his wife Carrie Johnson – until February.

But an official report by the Electoral Commission yesterday revealed that the Prime Minister had texted Tory donor Lord Brownlow in November asking for more works to be signed off. 

The findings open the door for yet another probe into the ‘Wallpapergate’ scandal, exposed by the Daily Mail.

Downing Street insisted Mr Johnson had not lied to his adviser, pointing out that Lord Brownlow was head of a proposed trust that was meant to raise money for the refurbishment – although the idea was later abandoned – and the premier did not know the source of the money. 

The PM’s official spokesman said today that Lord Geidt is ‘liaising’ with Downing Street.

‘We are liaising with Lord Geidt to any answer further questions he may have,’ the spokesman said.

The commission fined the Conservative Party £17,800 for failing to declare donations properly over the saga, although it is mulling an appeal. 

According to the Daily Telegraph, the standards adviser could quit if Mr Johnson does not satisfactorily explain why he did not share vital information with him – although the BBC said sources had played down the prospect of an imminent departure. 

Dominic Cummings, who was in Downing Street when the expensive redecoration works were being planned for the living quarters above No 11, has waded into the spat again.

He wrote on Twitter that he had told the PM ‘in extremely blunt and unrepeatable terms’ in January and the summer of 2020 ‘his desire for secret donations to fund wallpaper etc was illegal and unethical’. 

Mr Cummings said: ‘He pursued it throughout the year trying to keep me/others in dark and lied to Geidt/CCHQ [Conservative Party headquarters] to cover it up.’

He added: ‘I’ve said repeatedly for months: a) obviously PM lied to Geidt, b) Geidt could only conclude as he did by … not interviewing anybody actually involved with the flat!’

The new revelations plunge the PM further into crisis after his Government was rocked by news earlier this week that an ‘illegal’ Christmas Party was held at Downing Street when the capital was in Tier 3 lockdown restrictions last year.

Mr Doyle, then the PM’s Deputy Director of Communications, is said to have made a ‘thank you’ speech to up to 50 people who attended the bash on December 18 last year.

ITV News claimed that Mr Doyle also handed out paper certificates to members of the communications team as part of a ‘joke awards ceremony’.

The former journalist has been overseeing the response to the allegations, with Number 10 denying that it amounted to a ‘party’. But extraordinary leaked video footage of a mock press conference showed Downing Street staff giggling about the ‘cheese and wine’ gathering, sparking the resignation of spokeswoman Allegra Stratton.

The controversial gathering is now the subject of an internal investigation by the Cabinet Office, along with another leaving do where Mr Johnson is said to have given a speech. 

Mr Johnson has flatly denied being aware a party had happened, but the apparent attendance by one of his closest aides raises fresh questions. 

The leader of the Scottish Conservatives said he would have to quit if he was found to have lied about the party when he denied it had taken place in the House of Commons. 

Asked if the PM had confidence in Mr Doyle, his official spokesman replied: ‘Yes.’

On whether Mr Doyle had offered his resignation, the spokesman said: ‘Not that I’m aware of.’

The spokesman also said Mr Johnson retains full confidence in adviser Ed Oldfield after he appeared in the leaked footage that prompted Allegra Stratton to resign.

Mr Cummings said on Twitter Mr Doyle was a ‘gonner’ (sic) but predicted Mr Johnson would keep him on staff until after the Cabinet Secretary’s inquiry, then use him ‘as the sacrifice’.

He said on Twitter: ‘Also there’s lots of pictures of the parties which will inevitably get out. And invite lists beyond No10, to other departments…’

Mark Spencer insisted Downing Street staff ‘were not drinking alcohol’ and partying during Covid restrictions as he claimed the PM can not know everything going on in Downing Street with its ‘hundreds of offices and rooms’.

Mr Spencer said he was ‘assured that everybody in that building played by the rules’ as he sought to explain how Mr Johnson may not know what was going on under his own roof.

‘When you describe it as a house, it’s a department of Government, this is a huge, huge building, literally with hundreds and hundreds of offices and rooms,’ the Sherwood MP told BBC Radio Nottinghamshire.

‘No single person could account for what’s happening in those buildings – they are huge buildings.’

Told people are furious after suffering a miserable Christmas under Covid restrictions, Mr Spencer replied: ‘And so did the Prime Minister, believe me, he also had a miserable Christmas dealing with all of this and dealing with the coronavirus epidemic as many people did in No 10 working day and night trying to solve the challenges the country was facing.

‘I’m told they were not drinking alcohol and having parties while that was going on.’

Asked if Mr Johnson should resign if he lied, the whip said: ‘The Prime Minister will not have lied about any parties. My understanding is that there was no party but we need to investigate that, the Cabinet Secretary will investigate it and we will establish the facts.’

Mr Spencer was also questioned over the mock press briefing on December 22 during which No 10 aides joked about Covid restrictions and a supposedly ‘fictional party’ days earlier.

Asked why Allegra Stratton, who resigned as a Government adviser after footage of the rehearsal leaked, was unable to say if Mr Johnson condoned a Christmas party, the whip said: ‘Because there was no party, that’s where the joke was.’ 

Mr Scully said it was key to ‘get to the bottom’ of allegations about parties and gatherings.

He told BBC Breakfast an investigation had been launched because ‘we want to see beyond doubt that there were no rules broken, which is what the assurances have been to the Prime Minister, and that’s what I’ve heard.

‘I wasn’t there. I don’t know.’

But he would not be drawn on whether Mr Doyle should still be in his job. 

Lockdown-sceptic Tories say at least 60 Tory backbenchers are ready to rebel in a vote next week on Mr Johnson’s imposition of Plan B measures to combat the Omicron variant.

To make matters worse for the beleaguered PM, two national polls showed how the the Conservatives have slumped in popularity over recent weeks, with one giving Labour a six-point lead. 

Earlier this year the Mail revealed how secret plans had been hatched to get Tory donors to pay for the overhaul of the No11 flat by interior designer Lulu Lytle, as the PM privately complained he could not afford the ‘gold wallpaper’ Mrs Johnson was buying. 

There was also a scheme to set up a charitable trust for the maintenance of the historic Downing Street buildings, with Lord Brownlow made its chairman – although the idea was later abandoned.

Currently there is £30,000 a year of taxpayer funding available for maintaining the grace-and-favour residence. 

Cabinet Secretary Simon Case, who learned of the machinations through this newspaper, began investigating and passed his findings to ministerial watchdog Lord Geidt.

In May Lord Geidt cleared the PM of breaching the ministerial code, only saying that he had ‘unwisely’ ‘allowed the refurbishment of the apartment at No 11 Downing Street to proceed without more rigorous regard for how this would be funded’.

This conclusion was based on Mr Johnson telling him ‘that he knew nothing about such payments until immediately prior to media reports in February 2021’.

But a separate investigation by the Electoral Commission uncovered evidence that on November 29, 2020, the PM ‘messaged Lord Brownlow via WhatsApp asking him to authorise further, at that stage unspecified, refurbishment works on the residence’.

The report provides the most detailed account yet of the complex web of payments, which it has now emerged totalled £112,549.12, involved in doing up the flat.

The Cabinet Office paid the invoices initially, the money was subsequently repaid by CCHQ and then Lord Brownlow and his firm Huntswood Associates made donations to the party to cover the costs. To clear up the mess, Mr Johnson covered the bill personally earlier this year.

The Electoral Commission found that the majority of the £67,801 given to the Tories by Lord Brownlow’s firm last October should have been reported as a donation, but was not.

The party was fined for ‘failing to accurately report the full value of the donation’ and ‘contravening the requirement to keep proper accounting records’.

Lord Brownlow and his company also settled a number of invoices directly.  

Deputy Labour leader Angela Rayner has called for Lord Geidt to reinvestigate the refurbishment.

After writing to Lord Geidt, Ms Rayner said: ‘We now know that in the days before he imposed the 2021 winter lockdown, the Prime Minister went from allegedly hosting an illegal party in Downing Street to asking super rich Tory donors to secretly fund the luxury refurb of his flat.

‘Not only has the Conservative Party broken the law, but its Prime Minister has made a mockery of the standards we expect.

‘If Boris Johnson refuses a fresh investigation, that standard will be lowered significantly – setting the bar woefully low for our country’s public life.’

Parliamentary standards commissioner Kathryn Stone has also been urged to probe whether Mr Johnson should have declared any personal donations. A spokesman for the watchdog’s office declined to comment.

A CCHQ spokesman said: ‘We have been in constant contact with the Electoral Commission and have sought their advice as to how the transaction should be reported since it was made. We are considering whether to appeal.’ 

The revelations come after new polls carried out yesterday showed how the Tories have slumped in popularity in recent days after being rocked by the Christmas party revelations.

A YouGov poll carried out for The Times found that Labour now has a four-point lead, its biggest in 11 months. 

More than two thirds of voters are now said to be questioning Mr Johnson’s integrity over his response to the Downing Street party scandal. The PM has consistently said that there was no party and no rules were broken.

If enough Tory backbenchers rebel when Plan B measures announced on Wednesday are voted on next week, the PM could face the terrible optics of needing Labour votes to push the laws through.

Tory MPs were reportedly speculating that more letters of no confidence in the PM were being handed to Sir Graham Brady, the leader of the immensely powerful 1922 Committee. 

However, at this stage, there is said to be little chance that the PM will be forced out.

A minister told The Times that Mr Johnson would stay in his job by ‘default’ because no potential challenger would be able to unify critics. 

They said the PM had committed ‘a series of unforced errors’ and the party was ‘lucky’ that Labour’s Sir Keir is ‘useless’.

The YouGov poll added that three quarters of people believe there was a Christmas Party where Covid-19 rules were broken and 68 per cent said they thought Mr Johnson was lying when he denied it.   

A separate survation poll poll suggested that Labour’s poll lead may be even bigger, at six points.     

Downing Street insisted yesterday that the PM knew Lord Brownlow was in charge of a blind trust being used to fund the flat renovation, not that he was also the source of the donation.

‘The PM was not aware of the details of the underlying donor until prior to media reports (in February),’ Mr Johnson’s spokesman told reporters, saying the PM had not lied to Lord Geidt. 

However the Commission report released yesterday noted that at the time in November ‘the proposed trust had not yet been set up’. 

It found that the Conservative Party failed to ‘fully report’ a donation of £67,801.72 from Brownlow made in October 2020, of which £52,801 which was connected to the refurbishment of the 11 Downing Street flat where Boris Johnson lives.

The probe found that when the payment was flagged by a junior member of Conservative staff, they were told the cash was for ‘something else’ and ‘don’t worry’. 

It also revealed that the PM personally asked Lord Brownlow to sign off more works via WhatsApp. 

The commission’s investigation found that decisions relating to the handling and recording of the donation reflected ‘serious failings in the party’s compliance systems’.

A fine of £17,800 was levied for ‘failing to accurately report a donation and keep a proper accounting record’.

Louise Edwards, director of regulation at the Electoral Commission, said: ‘The party’s decisions and actions reflected serious failings in its compliance systems.

‘As a large and well-resourced political party that employs compliance and finance experts, and that has substantial sums of money going through its accounts, the Conservative Party should have sufficiently robust systems in place to meet its legal reporting requirements.’

The Daily Mail revealed details of the lavish redecoration of the apartment shared by the PM and his then fiancée in March.

The revamp at No11 by upmarket designer Lulu Lytle is said to have included gold wall coverings. 

But the funding of the work did not appear in the list of political donations published by the Commission or in Mr Johnson’s Commons register of interests. 

It prompted demands from the Labour Party for a full investigation into how the extravagant work was paid for and whether rules were broken. 

The Electoral Commission said that Huntswood Associates transferred £67,801.72 to the Conservative Party on October 19, 2020.

Some £15,000 of that amount was for an event, but the commission said he ‘specifically identified the remaining £52,801.72 as a donation to cover an earlier payment of that value made by the party to the Cabinet Office’.

The Cabinet Office had paid three invoices over summer 2020, totalling the same amount, for the refurbishment of the Prime Minister’s flat at 11 Downing Street, and these were made on the agreement that the sum would be repaid by the party.

But the commission said that in donation records submitted on January 27, 2021, while the party reported the £15,000 from Huntswood Associates, it failed to report the £52,801.72.

The commission also concluded that the reference in the party’s financial records to the payment of £52,801.72 made by the party for the refurbishment was not accurate as it was referred to as a ‘blind trust loan’.

However a trust to refurbish the flat had not been created.

The Tories are considering whether to appeal against the Electoral Commission fine over the donation linked to Boris Johnson’s flat refurbishment.