Union leaders demand PERMANENT ‘daughter of furlough’ is set up to protect workers

Union leaders want a PERMANENT furlough scheme to protect workers from ‘future economic shocks’ like climate change – despite UK already facing years of tax hikes to cover £66BILLION cost of saving jobs for 18 months

  • Permanent furlough system should be baked into UK economy union leaders say
  •  TUC called for ‘daughter of furlough’ scheme based on Job Retention Scheme
  • They argued that such a scheme would lessen the impact on the economy 

A permanent furlough system should be baked into the UK economy to help workers see off the impact of future crisis, union leaders demanded today.

The TUC called for a ‘daughter of furlough’ scheme based on Rishi Sunak‘s eye-wateringly expensive Job Retention Scheme.

It argues that climate change, technological change and the threat of future pandemics mean that such a scheme may be required in future.

It argues that such a scheme would lessen the impact on the economy in terms of lowering unemployment, boost recovery through support of retail spending and ‘prevent widening inequalities’, which see women, disabled workers and minorities become the first to lose jobs.

However the eye-watering outlay is likely to raise eyebrows at the Treasury. The furlough scheme has cost the taxpayer around £66billion over the past 18 months and is due to be wound down at the end of September – six weeks’ time.

But TUC general secretary Frances O’Grady said: ‘The pandemic shows how an unexpected economic shock can wreak havoc on jobs and livelihoods with little warning. 

The TUC called for a 'daughter of furlough' scheme based on Rishi Sunak's eye-wateringly expensive Job Retention Scheme.

The TUC called for a 'daughter of furlough' scheme based on Rishi Sunak's eye-wateringly expensive Job Retention Scheme.

The TUC called for a ‘daughter of furlough’ scheme based on Rishi Sunak’s eye-wateringly expensive Job Retention Scheme.

Mr Sunak's furlough scheme has cost the taxpayer around £66billion over the past 18 months and is due to be wound down at the end of September - six weeks' time.

Mr Sunak's furlough scheme has cost the taxpayer around £66billion over the past 18 months and is due to be wound down at the end of September - six weeks' time.

Mr Sunak’s furlough scheme has cost the taxpayer around £66billion over the past 18 months and is due to be wound down at the end of September – six weeks’ time.

‘In a changing and unpredictable world – as we battle climate change and new technologies emerge – a permanent short-time working scheme would help make our labour market more resilient and protect jobs and livelihoods. 

‘Too often in the past, periods of economic and industrial change have been badly mismanaged – increasing inequalities and leaving working people and whole communities abandoned.

‘Setting up a ”daughter of furlough” to provide certainty to workers and firms through future industrial change would be a fitting pandemic legacy.

‘Furlough has been a lifeline for millions of working people during the pandemic. Now is the time for the government to build on the success of furlough with a short-time working scheme – not throw away its good work.’

The TUC’s plan includes: 

  • Workers getting 80 per cent of their wages, plus a guarantee that their pay for normal hours will not fall below the minimum wage
  • Any worker working less than 90 per cent of their normal working hours must be offered funded training.
  • Agreements between firms and workers negotiated by unions of recognised internal consultation mechanisms.
  • A commitment by business that to get on the scheme they pay UK corporation tax and pay out no dividends to shareholders
Although the figure was slightly above the expectations of analysts, it was below the estimates from the OBR watchdog in the spring

Although the figure was slightly above the expectations of analysts, it was below the estimates from the OBR watchdog in the spring

Although the figure was slightly above the expectations of analysts, it was below the estimates from the OBR watchdog in the spring

The amount of debt sat at an eye-watering £2.2trillion at the end of June, or around 99.7 per cent of GDP, the highest ratio since the 102.5 per cent recorded in March 1961

The amount of debt sat at an eye-watering £2.2trillion at the end of June, or around 99.7 per cent of GDP, the highest ratio since the 102.5 per cent recorded in March 1961

The amount of debt sat at an eye-watering £2.2trillion at the end of June, or around 99.7 per cent of GDP, the highest ratio since the 102.5 per cent recorded in March 1961

Discussing the upcoming end to furlough, Ms O’Grady added: ‘The jobs market is still fragile, with more than a million people still on furlough.

‘An abrupt and premature end to the furlough scheme will needlessly cost jobs and harm our economic recovery.

‘Instead of pulling the rug out from under the feet of businesses and workers, the chancellor must extend the furlough scheme for as long as is needed to protect jobs and livelihoods.’

Last month figures revealed the UK debt pile hit £2.2trillion – the highest relative to GDP since 1961 – but borrowing started to ease as the economy recovered.

The government racked up another £22.8billion of liabilities, the second highest on record for June – but down from £28.2billion a year earlier.

Although the figure was slightly above the expectations of analysts, it was below the estimates from the OBR watchdog in the spring, giving Rishi Sunak some much-needed breathing room.

Unveiling a swathe of tax hikes to come, with income tax thresholds to be frozen until 2026, the revenue-raising measures will take the burden to the highest level since the late 1960s

Unveiling a swathe of tax hikes to come, with income tax thresholds to be frozen until 2026, the revenue-raising measures will take the burden to the highest level since the late 1960s

Unveiling a swathe of tax hikes to come, with income tax thresholds to be frozen until 2026, the revenue-raising measures will take the burden to the highest level since the late 1960s

In a worrying sign, the official data showed that the government spent £8.7billion on interest payments for its debts – up from just £2.7billion in June 2020 as rates have increased.

The Chancellor pointed to the huge package of support he had implemented to shore up jobs and businesses, but stressed he was taking ‘tough choices’ to get debt back under control. 

According to the Office for National Statistics, borrowing so far this financial year has reached £69.5billion since the end of March – £49.8billion less than the same period a year ago.

OBR says pension costs will fall due to Covid deaths  

Excess deaths as a result of coronavirus will reduce spending on the state pension and increase inheritance tax receipts, according to analysis of Budget data.

More than 144,000 deaths involving Covid-19 have occurred in the UK since the start of the pandemic, figures published by the UK’s statistics agencies show.

Most coronavirus deaths have been in people aged over 65, many of whom will have been receiving the state pension.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) estimated that will partly cause the Government’s pensioner spending to fall by £600million in 2020/21 and £900 million in 2021/22, relative to its March 2020 forecast.

While the fiscal watchdog said the ‘primary driver of lower spending is the weaker outlook for average earnings growth’, excess coronavirus deaths have also reduced the number of people receiving pensions relative to previous assumptions.

‘Indeed, with virus-related deaths rising sharply again in recent months, we have revised up the number of excess pensioner-age deaths in 2020-21 from 90,000 in our November forecast to around 100,000 in this one,’ the OBR said in its report alongside the Budget.

‘This revision may appear small given the severity of the current wave, but the lockdown brought in to control the coronavirus has also dramatically reduced the number of influenza deaths this winter relative to a normal year.

‘Our forecast now also assumes some excess deaths in 2021-22, drawing on academic modelling published alongside the Government’s road map.

‘Excess deaths lower pensioner spending by £0.6 billion in 2020-21 and by £0.9 billion in 2021-22 relative to our March 2020 forecast.’

On inheritance tax, the Treasury forecasts that receipts will increase from £5.1 billion in 2019/20 to £6 billion in 2021/22, before falling to £5.8 billion the following year.

While the rise is attributed to the freeze of inheritance tax thresholds until April 2026 and the growth in the value of estates, higher Covid-19 deaths will also contribute.

The OBR said it had ‘revised up our assumption for excess deaths this year and next relative to November’.

It said that ‘higher virus-related deaths in the current wave of the virus have outweighed the effect of lockdown reducing deaths from other causes, particularly from influenza and other respiratory diseases’.

However, the OBR said receipts have been ‘revised down substantially relative to our pre-pandemic forecast thanks to lower equity prices and lower house prices’.

‘The effect of these on growth in the value of estates more than offsets the small lift to receipts due to the increase in deaths this year,’ the watchdog said.

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