Nearly 5MILLION vulnerable over-50s have yet to have their Covid booster vaccine
Nearly 5MILLION vulnerable adults have yet to have their Covid booster vaccine as ‘Prof Lockdown’ Neil Ferguson says it’s ‘CRITICAL we accelerate’ drive with fears growing over ‘challenging’ winter which could see return of face masks and WFH
Around 3.7million third vaccines have been dished out to over-50s and the clinically vulnerable in England But some 8.5million are now eligible for a booster jab having had their second dose at least six months ago It means 4.8million people may be suffering from waning immunity as Britain moves into the colder months
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Nearly 5million vulnerable adults have yet to receive a Covid booster vaccine, official data shows after Downing Street admitted Britain faces a ‘challenging’ winter.
Despite the NHS top-up programme launching over a month ago, only around 3.7million out of the 8.5m eligible people in England have received the crucial third dose.
No10’s scientists approved plans to revaccinate all healthy over-50s, frontline health staff and carers and patients with underlying medical conditions six months after their second dose, after evidence showed it was the ‘sweet spot’ for immunity.
The lagging rollout has left around 4.8m people with sub-optimal immunity as the country moves into the colder months and faces the double threat of increasing case numbers and flu.
SAGE adviser ‘Professor Lockdown‘ Neil Ferguson, an epidemiologist at Imperial College London, today insisted it was ‘critical we accelerate’ the booster drive to give ourselves the best chance of avoiding having to bring back curbs.
And Sir David King, who was the Government’s chief scientific adviser from 2000 to 2007, criticised the rollout for moving ‘extremely slowly’.
Amanda Pritchard, chief executive of the NHS, today insisted the health service has ‘plenty of capacity’ to vaccinated all eligible people immediately but said people are not coming forward quickly enough.
But some experts also say the booster programme is going slower because the UK is juggling administering first jabs to children in secondary schools and running the largest flu vaccination programme in history.
Pictures today show clinics lying virtually empty, some of which are not open for booster jab walk-ins — further highlighting the complexity of Britain’s current rollout.
It comes against the backdrop of rising cases with 49,156 infections recorded yesterday — the highest daily figure in three months. Downing Street warned that Britons should prepare for a ‘challenging few months’
Boris Johnson’s spokesman said there were ‘currently’ no plans to reintroduce Plan B restrictions — which include face masks and working from home guidance — but that ministers were keeping ‘a very close watch on the latest statistics’.
Around 3.7million third vaccines have been dished out to over-50s and the immuno-compromised in England as of Sunday (purple line), the latest date data is available for. But some 8.5million people are currently eligible for a booster dose, having received their second jab six months ago (green line). means 4.8million people may be suffering from waning immunity
Amanda Pritchard, chief executive of the NHS, today insisted the health service has ‘plenty of capacity’ to vaccinated all eligible people immediately but said people are not coming forward quickly enough. Pictured: Elland Road vaccination centre in Leeds lies empty today
Pictured: The Home Park vaccination centre in Plymouth, Devon, which has been quiet today
SAGE adviser ‘Professor Lockdown’ Neil Ferguson (left), an epidemiologist at Imperial College London, said it is ‘critical we accelerate’ the booster drive. And Sir David King (right), who was the Government’s chief scientific adviser from 2000 to 2007, said the rollout is moving ‘extremely slowly’
Britain led the world in the initial vaccine rollout, but it has now slumped behind Italy, Spain and France in terms of the percentage of the population to be double-jabbed.
This is because it delayed rolling out jabs to healthy children, whereas most EU members approved those plans much quicker.
All over-50s and the clinically vulnerable can get a booster jab from six months after their second dose.
But experts have warned that at the current rate the most vulnerable will not all receive their third vaccination until the end of January.
Asked if Covid booster jabs are the answer to waning immunity, Professor Ferguson told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: ‘Absolutely, and there’s data coming through now, which is not completely clear cut, but good data coming through from Israel, which shows that, if you’ve had the third booster dose of the vaccine, then you get very high loads, better than even you had after the second dose.
‘And so I do think it’s critical we accelerate the booster programme.
‘The other thing is infection rates are highest in teenagers at the moment and most other European countries are ahead of us in vaccinating teenagers and giving them two doses, not just one dose.
‘Two doses really are needed to block infection and prevent transmission, so I think that’s the other problem, keep pushing on, getting coverage rates up higher in the teenagers who are driving a lot of this infection.’
The Imperial College London epidemiologist said the doubling time for hospital admissions is about five weeks, ‘so I think we need [to be] on the case, and we do need to prioritise the [booster] vaccination programme but we’re not in the same position as last year.
‘I don’t think it’s a reason to panic right now but I would certainly like to see vaccination booster doses accelerated, vaccination for teenagers accelerated.’
Prof Andrew Hayward, a SAGE adviser and University College London expert, said: ‘We need to get the vaccination rates up and to be prepared, potentially, to think about other measures if things do get out of control.
‘We prioritised those who were most vulnerable – the elderly and those with chronic diseases – to be vaccinated first, so they’ve had the longest time for their immunity to start to wane.
‘That’s why it’s so vital this booster programme gets done as soon as possible.’
And Sir David said the pace of the Covid booster rollout was going ‘extremely slowly’.
He told Sky News that the dangers going into winter of waning immunity were clear, adding: ‘The number of new cases per day is close to 40,000.’
More than a third of fully vaccinated over-80s in England are likely to have received their Covid booster jab, according to the data.
Of the nearly 2.7million people aged 80 and over in England who have already received two doses of vaccine, around 1.3million are estimated to have had their booster dose — the equivalent of almost half.
The figures, from NHS England, also show that around a third of double-jabbed people aged 75 to 79 are likely to have received a booster, along with 15 per cent of those aged 70 to 74.
In total, more than 3.6million booster doses have now been delivered in England.
John Roberts, of the Covid Actuaries Response Group, said: ‘At the start of the booster campaign, the Secretary of State for Health and Social Care stated that the aim was to protect the most vulnerable from Covid as we head into the autumn and winter months.
‘But at the current rate, it’s likely to be towards the end of January before the approximately 22million that fall into the most vulnerable groups receive the booster.
‘With case numbers very high and still rising, and admissions to hospital also rising again, it’s clear that accelerating the booster rollout is vital to reduce the pressure on health services and minimise Covid-related deaths this autumn and winter.’
Mrs Pritchard today told MPs the problem behind Britain’s lagging rollout is the fall in demand for third jabs compared to first and second doses.
Speaking at the Health and Social Care Committee, she said: ‘there is no delay in sending out invitations. It is literally within days of people becoming eligible, they will get their invitations.
‘What we are seeing — and this is absolutely the crux — is that whilst it is great that people are coming forward for their boosters, they are not coming forward as quickly when they receive their invitation as we certainly saw for the first jabs.
‘So, it’s really important that we now absolutely do get the message out that is Covid is still with us. It is serious.
‘Boosters do really make a difference in boosting immunity, so if people get their invitations this week or they have already had them, there is plenty of capacity. So, please come forward and book as soon as possible.’
Ministers and experts have consistently urged people to come forward for a third jab, suggesting not as many people may be booking in third appointments as had been hoped.
Trade secretary Anne-Marie Trevelyan today urged Brits to come forward to keep the ‘new normal’ in place.
Boris Johnson’s spokesman said there were ‘currently’ no plans to reintroduce Plan B restrictions — which include face masks and working from home guidance — but that ministers were keeping ‘a very close watch on the latest statistics’. The Prime Minister is pictured today speaking at the Global Investment Summit at the Science Museum
She said: ‘We’re encouraging all those who are vulnerable, anyone who’s over 50, please do make sure that you get your booster jab.’
MS Trevelyan added doing so will ‘help make sure we are able to continue living in the back to new normal that we’re able to do as a result of the incredible vaccine programme’.
But experts have previously suggested the slow rollout is partly caused by Britain’s more complex vaccination drive now.
Professor Adam Finn, a key member of the Joint Committee for Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) — which advises the Government on vaccine policy — said rolling out to multiple age groups has proved challenging.
The professor of paediatrics at the University of Bristol said: ‘The programme has got much more complicated than it was before.
‘Previously, it was a straightforward matter of opening large centres and getting people in by age groups. Now we have multiple different groups being offered vaccines.
‘They are really difficult patients to identify and to sculpt the programme. High risk groups are very difficult to reach.’
Booster doses can only be offered to people who are at least six months on from receiving their second dose of coronavirus vaccine.
If eligible, people who can receive a booster dose include all adults aged 50 and over; frontline health and social care workers; and those living in residential care homes for older adults.
They are also being made available to people aged 16 to 49 with underlying health conditions that put them at higher risk of severe Covid, and adult household contacts of immunosuppressed individuals.
The booster campaign began in England on September 16, and is being delivered through existing vaccination sites including pharmacies, hospital hubs, GP practices and vaccine centres.
It is intended to provide extra protection against hospital admission or death from Covid during the coming winter, and as such is being targeted at people who are more at risk from serious disease and who were jabbed during the first phase of the vaccine rollout.
Among other age groups in England, around 7 per cent of double-jabbed people aged 60-69 are now likely to have had a booster.
Almost 11 per cent of double-jabbed people in north-east England and Yorkshire have received their booster – the highest proportion for any region.
London has the lowest proportion of any region, at just 8.7 per cent.
NHS England said the figures for boosters contain a small number of third primary doses of vaccine.
These are not the same as booster doses, and are instead being offered to individuals aged 12 and over who may not be able to mount a full immune response following two doses of Covid vaccination due to underlying health conditions or medical treatment.
A third primary dose of vaccine should ideally be given at least eight weeks after the second dose, according to official guidance from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI).
It comes as new radio and TV adverts urging older people to get a coronavirus booster jab and flu vaccine are set to be rolled out later this week.
There are also concerns over low vaccine uptake among children. Only 15 per cent of 12 to 15-year-olds in England have had their first dose, despite nearly one in ten having the virus last week.
Covid cases, hospitalisations and deaths are all significantly higher in the UK than in western Europe. Yesterday another 45 deaths within 28 days of a positive test were reported.
Last month Mr Johnson set out a ‘Plan B’ for further restrictions – including masks, vaccine passports and home working – if the virus surges.
Officials have suggested this will be triggered if hospitalisations start to top 1,000 a day – and the UK is approaching that figure. Yesterday another 915 Covid admissions to NHS hospitals were recorded, the highest figure in a month.
The PM’s official spokesman said: ‘There is absolutely no plan to introduce Plan B currently. We retain that capability if required if we believe the NHS is coming under unsustainable pressure.
‘We obviously keep very close watch on the latest statistics. We always knew the coming months would be challenging.’